Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They determine whether we live in a free or repres We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. File Upload. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. . Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Internet Archive TV NEWS : Search Captions. Borrow Broadcasts The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Accuracy is not guaranteed. It's a busy week! They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government Thats Changing. 2,. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. This is the first episode. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Galen speaks with him. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. So, the usual. Whereas Tester . Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast

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